Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 88655.165512 93523.887472 98390.213825 103615.751506 109064.790782 114575.936526 120567.780922
2025-06-29 80019.316432 87422.098949 95027.620551 103415.129654 112395.033638 121710.329302 132093.502733
2025-07-06 73906.664292 83025.523454 92600.222459 103381.872761 115162.960753 127623.487922 141777.182572
2025-07-13 70330.848765 80853.853307 92102.922408 104987.755727 119301.706692 134679.065389 152410.903983
2025-07-20 67334.266331 78991.966233 91650.802374 106366.204151 122948.017863 141000.674281 162085.290281
2025-07-27 64457.590929 77023.208431 90863.123982 107167.006200 125774.223707 146273.511533 170488.032118
2025-08-03 61536.583146 74809.531618 89623.153827 107290.385168 127691.256801 150411.781825 177528.033802
2025-08-10 59095.558539 73002.393752 88715.124809 107668.867850 129791.997435 154675.959615 184653.652678
2025-08-17 56730.039328 71157.906989 87650.394112 107759.482541 131469.666831 158387.139913 191098.807838
2025-08-24 55205.807395 70225.259287 87578.525981 108945.607087 134371.647673 163480.302676 199134.218060
2025-08-31 53095.943960 68494.579966 86476.270705 108833.225219 135679.428090 166668.337774 204918.734064
2025-09-07 51969.065561 67899.993241 86683.515679 110242.965092 138764.491093 171931.090191 213151.700735
2025-09-14 50564.352416 66928.835226 86413.883783 111071.333312 141168.664024 176428.545222 220553.787663
2025-09-21 48876.998748 65546.586439 85591.353340 111183.248936 142677.910073 179847.445052 226680.372983
2025-09-28 47259.493140 64191.722959 84748.588888 111221.286050 144058.628183 183088.517059 232588.062066
2025-10-05 46559.831094 63967.090865 85282.224779 112942.147394 147493.173762 188817.556946 241529.375557
2025-10-12 45787.792996 63615.222787 85628.581809 114408.671014 150604.656655 194159.938474 250027.429727
2025-10-19 44778.369604 62918.051082 85506.221336 115259.213174 152933.777839 198542.502074 257367.554676
2025-10-26 43499.352272 61826.028254 84842.811153 115390.312775 154336.690206 201771.800060 263291.873548
2025-11-02 42405.378000 60941.587575 84413.652621 115791.911227 156060.125305 205389.378325 269703.334352
2025-11-09 41233.905677 59917.101476 83770.074595 115888.057329 157373.766878 208485.495381 275469.739650
2025-11-16 40608.624418 59603.461283 84034.953343 117146.375898 160165.504318 213438.638074 283580.181073
2025-11-23 39444.105127 58524.880367 83263.981434 117027.161050 161168.007560 216130.165616 288854.297377